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中国经济增长的溢出效应——贸易和投资渠道重要吗?

王孝松 刘成豪

经济与管理研究2018,Vol.39Issue(3):16-25,10.
经济与管理研究2018,Vol.39Issue(3):16-25,10.DOI:10.13502/j.cnki.issn1000-7636.2018.03.002

中国经济增长的溢出效应——贸易和投资渠道重要吗?

The Spillover Effect of Chinese Economic Growth—Are Trade and Investment Channels Important?

王孝松 1刘成豪2

作者信息

  • 1. 中国人民大学经济学院 北京 100872
  • 2. 中国人民大学经济学院
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

This paper reviews the literature about the spillover effect from China through its real economy.Using panel data of the fixed effects model,considering the shock of Chinese economic growth,this paper investigates whether China imposes spillover effects on other economies through trade and OFDI channels from 2003 to 2014.It is found that China indeed imposes spillover effects on other economies through its trade linkages with them.At the same time,the spillover effect caused by Chinese OFDI linkages with other economies cannot be neglected.Before the 2008 economic crisis,the spillover effect from China through trade and OFDI channels is insignificant.After that,however, the spillover effect through trade is significant, and that OFDI channel becomes more important.Hence,taking the spillover effects as the standard of investigation,it is reasonable to conclude that Chinese economic growth is important to the stability of global economic development after the 2008 economic crisis.

关键词

GDP冲击/贸易渠道/对外直接投资/溢出效应

Key words

GDP shock/trade channel/OFDI/spillover effect

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

王孝松,刘成豪..中国经济增长的溢出效应——贸易和投资渠道重要吗?[J].经济与管理研究,2018,39(3):16-25,10.

基金项目

中国人民大学科学研究基金项目"长周期视角下的世界经济:现状与未来趋势"(17XNLG05) (17XNLG05)

经济与管理研究

OA北大核心CHSSCDCSSCICSTPCD

1000-7636

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