气象2017，Vol.43Issue(10)：1259-1266,8.DOI:10.7519/j.issn.1000-0526.2017.10.010
海温异常对山东夏季降水的影响分析
Influence of the Early SST Anomaly on the Summer Precipitation in Shandong Province
摘要
Abstract
Influence of the early SST anomaly on the summer precipitation distribution in Shandong was discussed and possible precursor for prediction was concluded,and verified by actual condition of 2016.It is easy to cause the first EOF mode when ENSO is in the stage of development before summer,and the second mode when ENSO is in the state of decay.The summer precipitation is highly correlated with the Pacific decadal oscillation and Indian Ocean basin-wide warming phase in the southeast and the peninsula of Shandong Province.Meanwhile,high impact area of Southern Indian Ocean dipole and tropical Indian Ocean dipole phase is located in the northwest of Shandong Province.These SST anomalies have certain indicative significance to the summer precipitation prediction in Shandong.关键词
海温异常/山东夏季降水/气候预测Key words
SST anomaly/Shandong summer precipitation/climate prediction分类
天文与地球科学引用本文复制引用
孟祥新,王娜,商林..海温异常对山东夏季降水的影响分析[J].气象,2017,43(10):1259-1266,8.基金项目
公益性行业(气象)科研专项(GYHY201306033)及山东省气象局课题(2015sdqxm06和2016sdqxz02)共同资助 （气象）
