煤矿安全2018，Vol.49Issue(1)：210-213,217,5.DOI:10.13347/j.cnki.mkaq.2018.01.056
基于云模型和D-S理论的煤矿突水危险性综合评价模型
Comprehensive Evaluation Model for Coal Mine Water Inrush Risk Based on Cloud Model and D-S Theory
摘要
Abstract
Due to the complexity of geological conditions and the lack of experimental materials,the influence factors are random,fuzzy,grey,unknown,and so on.To solve these problems,new method is introduced based on qualitative uncertainty measurement cloud model and the synthesis rules of conflict evidence of D-S theory,and using cloud model combined fuzziness and randomness of water inrush evaluation,the evaluation index realizes uncertainty transform from qualitative to quantitative;using conflicting evidence synthetic method of D-S theory,the conflict between the fused data is eliminated to determine the more reasonable weights of evaluation indexes;comprehensively considering the factors of water,drainage factors,human factors and management factors,the system of water inrush risk comprehensive evaluation of coal mine is constructed to evaluate Nanshan Coal Mine water inrush risk.The evaluation result is a "safer" grade,which conforms to the engineering practice.The engineering example shows that the comprehensive evaluation of coal mine water inrush risk based on cloud model and D-S theory is accurate,reliable and accurate,and has high application value.关键词
煤矿突水/综合评价/云模型/D-S理论/评价模型Key words
coal mine water inrush/comprehensive evaluation/cloud model/D-S theory/evaluation model分类
矿业与冶金引用本文复制引用
廖志恒..基于云模型和D-S理论的煤矿突水危险性综合评价模型[J].煤矿安全,2018,49(1):210-213,217,5.基金项目
国家自然科学基金资助项目(51379119) （51379119）
国家自然科学基金青年科学基金资助项目(51604164,51304126) （51604164,51304126）
