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气候变化对跨境水资源影响的适应性评估与管理框架

匡洋 李浩 夏军 杨泽川

气候变化研究进展2018,Vol.14Issue(1):67-76,10.
气候变化研究进展2018,Vol.14Issue(1):67-76,10.DOI:10.12006/j.issn.1673-1719.2017.057

气候变化对跨境水资源影响的适应性评估与管理框架

Impacts of climate change on transboundary water resources and adaptation management framework

匡洋 1李浩 1夏军 2杨泽川3

作者信息

  • 1. 长江水利委员会长江科学院国际河流研究所,武汉 430010
  • 2. 武汉大学水资源与水电工程科学国家重点实验室,武汉 430072
  • 3. 水利部国际经济技术合作交流中心,北京 100053
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Global climate change increases the possibility of disputes in international rivers. Avoiding such problems and effectively navigating the threats imposed by climate change will require substantial adaption measures and broader cooperation among the riparian countries in international river basins,while pursuing sustainable development. This paper reviews progress of studies in this field,and finds that the key factor of adaptive management is to establish a set of procedures for scientific assessment. Therefore,an adaptation assessment and management framework applied to impacts of climate change is developed. It includes qualitative description and analysis of the international river basins,semi-quantitative analyses of the potential impacts of future climate change and adaptive capacity across the basins,quantitative analysis of cost-benefit and assessment of adaptation options. This paper provides an effective framework tool and methodology for proposing more targeted adaption measures to combat climate change in international river basins.

关键词

气候变化/跨境水资源/适应性管理/评估框架

Key words

Climate change/Transboundary water resources/Adaptation management/Assessment framework

引用本文复制引用

匡洋,李浩,夏军,杨泽川..气候变化对跨境水资源影响的适应性评估与管理框架[J].气候变化研究进展,2018,14(1):67-76,10.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金(51279140) (51279140)

中央级公益性科研院所基本科研业务费资助项目(CKSF2017033/GJ) (CKSF2017033/GJ)

气候变化研究进展

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1673-1719

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