水利水电科技进展2018，Vol.38Issue(2)：14-19,43,7.DOI:10.3880/j.issn.1006-7647.2018.02.003
区域农业旱灾脆弱性评价及其影响因素
Assessment of regional agricultural drought vulnerability and main influencing factors
摘要
Abstract
To improve the risk management of regional drought disaster, evaluation of agricultural drought vulnerability in Henan and Shandong was conducted. Combined with relevant literature and regional reality, 12 indicators in two perspectives of sensibility and resilience were selected to establish an evaluation index system. The indexes of agricultural drought vulnerability for cities in the study area were calculated by a vulnerability model based on entropy value method and comprehensive index method. Key influencing factors were identified by a factor contribution model. The results show that, relative significant disparity with different vulnerability levels exists among cities in the study area and the overall vulnerability level is moderate. The spatial difference of agricultural drought vulnerability is obvious and the vulnerability in Henan is higher than that in Shandong. The main influencing factors of agricultural drought vulnerability in Henan are the proportion of agriculture population,multiple-crop index and the income of rural residents per capita. The main influencing factors in Shandong are the proportion of effective irrigation area, agricultural water consumption per unit area and the average financial income.关键词
农业旱灾/脆弱性评价/敏感性分析/恢复力/空间差异/影响因素Key words
agricultural drought/assessment of vulnerability/sensibility analysis/resilience/spatial difference/influencing factors分类
农业科技引用本文复制引用
许朗,张维诚..区域农业旱灾脆弱性评价及其影响因素[J].水利水电科技进展,2018,38(2):14-19,43,7.基金项目
国家自然科学基金(71573126) （71573126）
国家社会科学基金重大项目(13&ZD160) （13&ZD160）
