长江科学院院报2017，Vol.34Issue(11)：48-53,6.DOI:10.11988/ckyyb.20160657
一种空间误差模型在混凝土拱坝变形预测中的应用
Application of a Spatial Error Model in Concrete Arch Dam Deformation Forecast
摘要
Abstract
Concrete arch dam,as a highly statically indeterminate structure,has strong adaptability and integrity.Traditional statistical models for concrete arch dam mainly focus on the deformation of a single point rather than the interaction among different points.In this article,the spatial autocorrelation of errors of different points at the same instance was mined by using spatial econometric method.Furthermore,the errors were modified by using the spatial regression model,and hence a spatial error model for concrete arch dam was established.As an example,the deformation sequences of 34 monitoring points in Xiaowan arch dam were studied and the results show that the error panel data are of strong positive correlation,and the spatial error model is superior to traditional statistical models.关键词
混凝土拱坝/空间面板数据/空间误差模型/空间自相关/变形预测Key words
concrete arch dam/spatial panel data/spatial error model/spatial autocorrelation/deformation forecast分类
建筑与水利引用本文复制引用
胡添翼,许朴..一种空间误差模型在混凝土拱坝变形预测中的应用[J].长江科学院院报,2017,34(11):48-53,6.基金项目
国家自然科学基金重点项目(41323001,51139001) （41323001,51139001）
高等学校博士学科点专项基金项目(20120094110005,20120094130003,20130094110010) （20120094110005,20120094130003,20130094110010）
江苏省杰出青年基金项目(BK20140039) （BK20140039）
水利部土石坝破坏机理与防控技术重点实验室基金项目(ky914002) （ky914002）
