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基于贝叶斯网络的防空作战战损评估模型构建

韩城 杨海燕 马嘉呈

火力与指挥控制2018,Vol.43Issue(2):36-40,5.
火力与指挥控制2018,Vol.43Issue(2):36-40,5.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1002-0640.2018.02.008

基于贝叶斯网络的防空作战战损评估模型构建

Construction and Research of Air Defense Battle Damage Assessment Model Based on Bayesian Network

韩城 1杨海燕 1马嘉呈1

作者信息

  • 1. 空军工程大学空管领航学院,西安710051
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In order to assess the combat damage of the fighter in the air defense battle,this paper constructs a model by integrating the expert knowledge and Beyesian network.To reduce the complexity of the obtained parameters and to simplify the gain of the network's conditional probability tables, Noisy-Or Gate model is introducted. The reasoning of the network adopts a kind of precise inference algorithm named clique tree propagation which could reason and predict the posteriori probability quickly. The simulation in the visual software Genie shows that this network model can quickly reason and analyze different combat evidences,and what's more,it provides some scientific basis for air defense battle damage assessment and the adjustment of the commander's tactics.

关键词

战损评估/贝叶斯网络/团树传播算法/防空作战

Key words

combat damage assessment/bayesian network/clique tree propagation algorithm/air defense battle

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

韩城,杨海燕,马嘉呈..基于贝叶斯网络的防空作战战损评估模型构建[J].火力与指挥控制,2018,43(2):36-40,5.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金资助项目(61472441) (61472441)

火力与指挥控制

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1002-0640

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