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浙江省沿海县级风暴潮危险性区划研究

李涛 朱业 付翔 郭敬

海洋预报2018,Vol.35Issue(1):12-18,7.
海洋预报2018,Vol.35Issue(1):12-18,7.DOI:10.11737/j.issn.1003-0239.2018.01.002

浙江省沿海县级风暴潮危险性区划研究

Research on county-level regionalization of storm surge hazard in the coast of Zhejiang province

李涛 1朱业 2付翔 3郭敬1

作者信息

  • 1. 国家海洋环境预报中心,北京100081
  • 2. 国家海洋局海洋灾害预报技术研究重点实验室,北京100081
  • 3. 浙江省海洋监测预报中心,浙江杭州310007
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Based on the total 85 storm surge historical data from 13 tide gauge stations during 30 years (1985-2014) along the coast of Zhejiang province,the statistical and the numerical simulation are used to supplement the data of the individual station for the abundance and comprehensiveness.The two natural factors,the storm surge and the exceeded water level,are selected to rank the storm surge at different level.The county-level of storm surge risk index are calculated by considering the different weight of factors.Under this basis,taking 20 year data length and risk index 7 as the standard of division,the county-level regionalization are conducted by the data-analyzing method and the comprehensive method which includes the analyzing the historical disaster.The results show that 18 coastal counties are regionalized into the storm surge key preventing regions,nearly account for 54.5% of the total 33 coastal counties,which mainly located in the central and south coast of Zhejiang province and the north bank of Hangzhou Bay.The above coastal counties should pay attention to the impact of storm surge disasters in the management of marine disaster risk and the planning of marine industry,as well as the enhancement of the risk assessment of storm surge disaster.

关键词

风暴潮/危险区划/浙江沿海/县级

Key words

storm surge/risk regionalization/Zhejiang coast/county level

分类

海洋科学

引用本文复制引用

李涛,朱业,付翔,郭敬..浙江省沿海县级风暴潮危险性区划研究[J].海洋预报,2018,35(1):12-18,7.

基金项目

国家重点研发计划(2016YFC1402005). (2016YFC1402005)

海洋预报

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1003-0239

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