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气旋引发渤海异常增水特征研究

傅赐福 于福江 吴少华 董剑希

海洋预报2018,Vol.35Issue(1):37-43,7.
海洋预报2018,Vol.35Issue(1):37-43,7.DOI:10.11737/j.issn.1003-0239.2018.01.005

气旋引发渤海异常增水特征研究

Study on the characteristic of abnormal storm surge caused by cyclone in the Bohai sea

傅赐福 1于福江 1吴少华 2董剑希1

作者信息

  • 1. 国家海洋环境预报中心,北京100081
  • 2. 国家海洋局海洋灾害预报技术研究重点实验室,北京100081
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Abnormal storm surge caused by two cyclones under different intensity was analyzed in the paper.The results showed that under high intensity and long-term influence of cyclone,there would be several cycles of abnormal storm surge,and the peak storm surge of tidal gauges which located at the bottom of the Bay in each cycle presented a "Jump rope" shape.The abnormal storm surge would bedisappeared in a cycle.The model of abnormal storm surge in the Bohai sea was established,and the wave propagation velocity was deduced,that was Kelvin wave form.The average errors of the two cyclone processes compared with the observations were 1.0 and 0.75 hour respectively,which indicated that the abnormal increase wave propagation characteristic accorded with Kelvin wave in the Bohai Sea.According to the cyclone intensity,the storm surge at Liaodong Bay tidal gauges and the theoretical propagation time between the tidal gauges,it could effectively solve and improve the storm surge forecasting.

关键词

气旋/异常增水/开尔文波/渤海

Key words

cyclone/abnormal storm surge/Kelvin wave/Bohai sea

分类

海洋科学

引用本文复制引用

傅赐福,于福江,吴少华,董剑希..气旋引发渤海异常增水特征研究[J].海洋预报,2018,35(1):37-43,7.

基金项目

国家重点研发计划(2016YFC1401503). (2016YFC1401503)

海洋预报

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1003-0239

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