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GRACE评分对急性胸痛患者30d心血管不良事件的预测价值

黄振华 詹红 廖瑾莉 肖孝勇 叶子 蒋鹏 陈伟栋 熊艳 杨震 曾庆理

中山大学学报(医学科学版)2018,Vol.39Issue(1):82-86,5.
中山大学学报(医学科学版)2018,Vol.39Issue(1):82-86,5.

GRACE评分对急性胸痛患者30d心血管不良事件的预测价值

Effect of GRACE Scores on Prediction of 30-day Cardiovascular Adverse Events in Patients with Acute Chest Pain

黄振华 1詹红 1廖瑾莉 1肖孝勇 1叶子 1蒋鹏 1陈伟栋 1熊艳 1杨震 1曾庆理1

作者信息

  • 1. 中山大学附属第一医院急诊科,广东广州510080
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

[Objective]To investigate the effect of GRACE scores on prediction of 30-day cardiovascular adverse events in acute chest pain patients.[Methods]A prospective,observational analysis was conducted in the patients with acute chest pain in Emergency Department(ED)from January 1,2016 through April 1,2016.Data including characteris-tics and GRACE scores were collected.All causes leading to MACE were followed up at 30th day after the onset of acute chest pain.[Results]Among a total of 209 patients presenting with acute chest pain enrolled in this study,110 were male (52.63%)and 99 were female(47.37%).The range of age was 20-98years old,and mean age was(65.28±16.85)years old.During follow-up period,12 patients had MACE,2 patients died in ED,3 patients died in hospital,6 patients died out of hospital,and 1 person was diagnosed with myocardial infarction. When compared with non-MACE group,factors including age,BMI,hospitalized patient number,and number of patients admitted in CCU as well as GRACE scores, were significantly higher in MACE group(P<0.05). The predictive ROC curve area of GRACE scores in 30-day MACE was 0.819(0.735 to 0.902). The optimal sensitivity and specificity were 0.92 and 0.65,respectively. The probability of 30-day cardiovascular adverse events in various GRACE score risk stratification was 0.95%(low-risk),6.67%(medi-um-risk),and 18.92%(high-risk),respectively.[Conclusion]The GRACE score was a useful predictor to the occur-rence of 30-day cardiovascular adverse events in acute chest pain patients.

关键词

GRACE评分/急性胸痛/危险分层/心血管不良事件

Key words

GRACE scores/acute chest pain/risk stratification/cardiovascular adverse events

分类

医药卫生

引用本文复制引用

黄振华,詹红,廖瑾莉,肖孝勇,叶子,蒋鹏,陈伟栋,熊艳,杨震,曾庆理..GRACE评分对急性胸痛患者30d心血管不良事件的预测价值[J].中山大学学报(医学科学版),2018,39(1):82-86,5.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金面上项目(81670220) (81670220)

广东省医学科学技术研究基金(B2014110) (B2014110)

广东省科技计划项目(2014A020212150) (2014A020212150)

中山大学学报(医学科学版)

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1672-3554

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