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考虑光伏功率相关性的随机潮流方法

朱晓荣 金绘民

电力系统自动化2018,Vol.42Issue(5):34-40,71,8.
电力系统自动化2018,Vol.42Issue(5):34-40,71,8.DOI:10.7500/AEPS20170614013

考虑光伏功率相关性的随机潮流方法

Probabilistic Load Flow Method Considering Correlation of Photovoltaic Power

朱晓荣 1金绘民1

作者信息

  • 1. 新能源电力系统国家重点实验室(华北电力大学),河北省保定市071003
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Photovoltaic(PV)power is a typical intermittent energy source,and shows appreciably correlative between adjacent PV power stations.For the probabilistic load flow in the system with PV power stations,the correlation of multiple PV powers is important for analyzing the influence of PV power on the power system.This paper proposes a probabilistic load flow method based on the correlation of multiple PV power stations.The output correlation of multiple PV power stations is modeled by the Pair Copula function,which considers the various dependency structures of pairs of PV power stations. Simultaneously,the existing probabilistic load flow method is improved,and the digit interlacing technology is integrated into quasi-Monte Carlo simulation method,which effectively improves the convergence rate.Taking the history data of PV power stations in Texas,USA for example,the effectiveness of the proposed method is verified by the simulation in the IEEE 30-bus and IEEE 1 1 8-bus systems.

关键词

随机潮流/PairCopula函数/拟蒙特卡洛/数字交错技术/Sobol序列

Key words

probabilistic load flow/Pair Copula function/quasi-Monte Carlo/digit interlacing technology/Sobol sequence

引用本文复制引用

朱晓荣,金绘民..考虑光伏功率相关性的随机潮流方法[J].电力系统自动化,2018,42(5):34-40,71,8.

电力系统自动化

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1000-1026

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