山东农业大学学报（自然科学版）2018，Vol.49Issue(1)：72-75,4.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-2324.2018.01.015
基于资源环境承载力的山东省沂源县耕地保有量预测
Forecast for the Cultivated Land Quantity in Yiyuan County of Shandong Province Based on Resources and Environment Carrying Capability
摘要
Abstract
Yiyuan County of Shandong is taken as the research area,the key factors that affect the resources and environment carrying capability are selected, the population can be predicted by the single factor of the research area in 2020 from different perspectives,the weighted linear and method are used to estimate the moderate population size based on resources and environment carrying capability.The prediction of cultivated land ownership based on the food security perspective is still the mainstream, this paper combines relevant food safety standard and the actual consumption of food in the research area to determine the cultivated land in the objective year.The results show that:the cultivated land should not be less than 31005.27 hm2; controlling strictly the construction occupied land, considering food security before agricultural internal structural adjustment, carrying out comprehensive land improvement and high standard farmland construction projects and farmland scale utilization as well as introduction of advanced farming techniques are effective ways to improve the comprehensive bearing capacity of cultivated land.关键词
资源环境/承载力/耕地保有量Key words
Resources and environment/carrying capability/cultivated land分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
唐丽静,王冬艳,李红..基于资源环境承载力的山东省沂源县耕地保有量预测[J].山东农业大学学报（自然科学版）,2018,49(1):72-75,4.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目(41201158) （41201158）
吉林省科技发展计划项目(20170101076JC) （20170101076JC）
