运筹与管理2018，Vol.27Issue(2)：1-10,10.DOI:10.12005/orms.2018.0028
基于模糊—冲突熵的风险性大群体应急决策方法
Risky Large Group Emergency Decision-making Method Based on Fuzzy-conflict Entropy
摘要
Abstract
Aiming at both the ambiguity of the emergency decision-making information and preference conflict for large group cause decision-making risk,the risky large group emergency decision-making method based on fuzzy-conflict entropy is proposed.Firstly,the large group is clustered by preference and classified to form aggregation preference matrix.Then,the interval-value intuitionistic fuzzy distance in the form of intuitionistic fuzzy number is proposed in order to reduce the loss of preference information,and generalized intuitionistic fuzzy number and its transformation method with intuitionistic fuzzy number are defined.Combined with prospect theory,the intu-itionistic fuzzy prospect matrix of different cluster is obtained by conversion.Furthermore, a large group fuzzy-conflict entropy emergency decision-making model is constructed, which goal is based on minimizing the deci-sion-making risk in the process of emergency decision -making, and the constraint condition is the partially attribute weights.According to this optimization model,we can get every attribute's weight,and then prospect matrix and attribute's weight are aggregated to the comprehensive prospect values to rank alternatives.Finally,a case analysis and comparison illustrate the rationality and effectiveness of the proposed method.关键词
前景理论/模糊熵/冲突熵/决策风险/大群体应急决策Key words
prospect theory/fuzzy entropy/conflict entropy/decision-making risk/large group emergency decision-making分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
徐选华,孙寒寒..基于模糊—冲突熵的风险性大群体应急决策方法[J].运筹与管理,2018,27(2):1-10,10.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目(71671189) （71671189）
国家自然科学基金重点项目(71790615,71431006) （71790615,71431006）
中南大学创新驱动计划(2015CX010) （2015CX010）
