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气候变化背景下北极海冰对我国冬季气温的影响研究

肖莺 任永建 杜良敏

极地研究2018,Vol.30Issue(1):14-21,8.
极地研究2018,Vol.30Issue(1):14-21,8.DOI:10.13679/j.jdyj.20170007

气候变化背景下北极海冰对我国冬季气温的影响研究

EFFECTS OF ARCTIC SEA ICE ON WINTER TEMPERATURE IN CHINA UNDER CLIMATE CHANGE

肖莺 1任永建 1杜良敏1

作者信息

  • 1. 武汉区域气候中心, 湖北 武汉 430074
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

This study used Chinese winter temperature data, the monthly Arctic sea ice concentration index from the China Meteorological Bureau, and NCEP/NCAR circulation reanalysis data to investigate the effects of Arctic sea ice on winter temperatures in China using sliding, time-delay, and partial correlation analyses. The results showed that Arctic sea ice concentration in autumn was correlated with high pressure in West Siberia in late winter and high pressure in North China, which were responsible for winter temperature anomalies in northwestern China and between the Yangtze River and the Yellow River. Further analysis found that the winter temperature anomalies in the northwestern region were affected mainly by high pres-sure over West Siberia, while the winter temperature anomalies between the Yangtze River and the Yellow River were affected mainly by high pressure in North China. The influence of Arctic sea ice on the late-winter high-latitude Eurasian circulation further affected winter temperatures on the plateau.

关键词

北极海冰/暖背景/时间尺度/区域差异

Key words

Arctic sea ice/warm/timescale/regional difference

引用本文复制引用

肖莺,任永建,杜良敏..气候变化背景下北极海冰对我国冬季气温的影响研究[J].极地研究,2018,30(1):14-21,8.

基金项目

国家重点基础研究发展计划(973计划)(2015CB953904)、湖北省气象局重点基金项目(2017Z03)、湖北省气象局年轻科技人员专项(2017Q05)资助 (973计划)

极地研究

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1007-7073

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