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基于综合集成赋权法的航空公司飞行安全风险灰色评估

谷倩倩 丁松滨

交通信息与安全2017,Vol.35Issue(6):38-45,8.
交通信息与安全2017,Vol.35Issue(6):38-45,8.DOI:10.3963/j.issn.1674-4861.2017.06.006

基于综合集成赋权法的航空公司飞行安全风险灰色评估

A Gray Evaluation Method of Flight Safety Risk Based on Comprehensive Integration Weight Method

谷倩倩 1丁松滨1

作者信息

  • 1. 南京航空航天大学民航学院 南京211106
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In order to improve evaluation accuracy of flight safety risk,grey system theory and comprehensive integration weight method are combined to develop a quantitative evaluation method considering uncertainties of factors affecting safety risk of flights.An index system is established from four aspects of crew,equipment,environment,and management.The weight of each index is determined by the comprehensive integrated weight method based on the principle of minimum entropy.A model is developed based on gray system theory,which is used to evaluate flight safety risk,and define the main indices which affect safety of flights.Rationality and feasibility,and effectiveness of this method are validated from a case study.The results show that the method can solve the problem of uncertainties in evaluation processes to the maximum extent.

关键词

交通安全/飞行安全/风险评估/熵值法/综合集成赋权法/灰色系统理论

Key words

traffic safety/flight safety/risk assessment/entropy method/comprehensive integration weight method/gray system theory

分类

交通工程

引用本文复制引用

谷倩倩,丁松滨..基于综合集成赋权法的航空公司飞行安全风险灰色评估[J].交通信息与安全,2017,35(6):38-45,8.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金项目(61573030,61511130044)资助 (61573030,61511130044)

交通信息与安全

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1674-4861

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