西北师范大学学报（自然科学版）2018，Vol.54Issue(2)：108-113,6.DOI:10.16783/j.cnki.nwnuz.2018.02.019
基于系统动力学的城市交通拥堵问题治理研究——以天津市机动车尾号限行政策为例
Research on urban traffic congestion problem based on system dynamics—A case of motor vehicle tail number limited policy in Tianjin City
摘要
Abstract
Based on the data of Tianjin statistical yearbook from 2005 to 2014,this paper uses the system dynamics method to simulate the urban traffic congestion situation,and analyzes the effect of the motor vehicle tail number limited policy on urban traffic congestion from the macroscopic point of view.The results show that in the case of urban traffic demand grow th rate is too fast and the supply capacity can not be satisfied,it can implement the motor vehicle tail number limited policy to curb the travel demand of the car,by controlling the number of tail number to achieve the goal of adjusting the total amount of ground traffic,to a certain extent,it can ease the situation of urban traffic congestion.To promote the sustainable and healthy development of urban transport system in Tianjin City,based on the analysis of the simulation results of the model,it is proposed that the reasonable suggestions should be done for future,w hich is rationally restricting the ow nership and use of motor vehicles,scientifically planning the layout of urban traffic,vigorously promoting the priority development of public transport,and actively promoting the civilized green travel.关键词
城市交通/交通拥堵/系统动力学/机动车尾号限行政策/天津市Key words
urban traffic/traffic congestion/system dynamics/motor vehicle tail number limited policy/Tianjin City分类
交通工程引用本文复制引用
陶志梅,阮婷..基于系统动力学的城市交通拥堵问题治理研究——以天津市机动车尾号限行政策为例[J].西北师范大学学报（自然科学版）,2018,54(2):108-113,6.基金项目
教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金资助项目(15YJC790047) （15YJC790047）
