铁道科学与工程学报2018，Vol.15Issue(3)：574-580,7.
高铁竞争下高速公路客运选择行为与发展策略
Choice behavior of highway passenger transport and its improvement strategy under the competition of high-speed rail
摘要
Abstract
Opening and operation of high-speed rail have significant impacts on highway passenger transport, and parts of highway passenger stations are at the risk of shutting down. To reveal the improvement mechanism and operation strategy of highway passenger transport, the experiment of travel choice behavior was designed based on traffic demand and supply from multi-dimensional perspectives such as passengers' individual features, travel demands, tickets, access, transfer, travel and departure features. The binary logistic regression model for passengers' riding mode choice was established by the actual survey data. The influence of multidimensional factors was studied on the passengers' choice of highway passenger transport, which provided operation management strategy of highway passenger transport under the competition of high-speed rail. The results showed the significant factors affecting highway bus choice refer to online train ticketing service, car ownership, arrival time, travel distance, fare, running time, safety, comfort and punctuality. The competitive ability of highway passenger transport can be improved by optimizing bus route, differentiated fares, ticketing, inbound service channel, pushing the subway to connect the highway passenger station, etc.关键词
高速铁路/高速公路/BL模型/选择行为/发展策略Key words
high speed railway/highway/BL/choice behavior/improvement strategy引用本文复制引用
李晓伟,王炜..高铁竞争下高速公路客运选择行为与发展策略[J].铁道科学与工程学报,2018,15(3):574-580,7.基金项目
国家自然科学基金重点资助项目(51338003) （51338003）
中国博士后基金面上资助项目(2015M571644) （2015M571644）
陕西省住房城乡建设科技开发计划资助项目(2015-K54) （2015-K54）
陕西省自然科学基金青年资助项目(2017JQ5086) （2017JQ5086）
