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概率论方法在核电厂地震安全性评价中的应用

宫会玲 王冉 杜龙

华南地震2017,Vol.37Issue(z1):48-52,5.
华南地震2017,Vol.37Issue(z1):48-52,5.DOI:10.13512/j.hndz.2017.S1.007

概率论方法在核电厂地震安全性评价中的应用

Some Reflections on the Utility of the Probability Safety Analysis (PSA) to the Seismic Safety Assessment (SSA) of the Nuclear Power Plant Site

宫会玲 1王冉 2杜龙3

作者信息

  • 1. 广东省地震局,广州510070
  • 2. 长安大学,西安710064
  • 3. 深圳中广核工程设计有限公司,广东 深圳510080
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

On the seismic safety assessment (SSA) of the nuclear power plant site,in order to comply with and rather understand the code and policy related to the utility of the Probability Safety Analysis (PSA) in nuclear safety field, based on the spatial and temporal distribution of the seismic and geological events, the sampling representative and frequency, time series analysis and basic assumption herein are discussed. It is believed that these conditions yielded a limitation in the utility of PSA to SSA and exhibit that the probability is a relative invariable value.Therefore, imaginabale developments are to combine geodynamics and regard the probability as a random variable.

关键词

概率安全分析技术/核电厂/地震评价/探讨

Key words

Probability Safety Analysis (PSA)/Nuclear power plant/Seismic safety assessment

分类

建筑与水利

引用本文复制引用

宫会玲,王冉,杜龙..概率论方法在核电厂地震安全性评价中的应用[J].华南地震,2017,37(z1):48-52,5.

华南地震

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