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改进专家群决策方法的风电机组故障风险评价研究

贾子文 顾煜炯 邢月 宋磊

可再生能源2018,Vol.36Issue(3):453-460,8.
可再生能源2018,Vol.36Issue(3):453-460,8.

改进专家群决策方法的风电机组故障风险评价研究

Research of wind turbine fault risk evaluation method based on improved export group decision

贾子文 1顾煜炯 1邢月 2宋磊1

作者信息

  • 1. 华北电力大学 能源动力与机械工程学院,北京102206
  • 2. 华北电力大学 新能源电力系统国家重点实验室,北京102206
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Aiming at the problem that wind turbine fault risk quantitative evaluation is difficult, and its subjective evaluation is strong,an improved expert group decision-making method is proposed. Firstly,the method of quasi-optimal consistent judgment matrix can guarantee the judgment matrixs' consistency. Secondly,by utilizing the geometric mean method,the weights of experts' matrixs can be made out. Finally, conbining gray relational degree and analytic hierarchy process,the weights of experts' matrixs are adjusted, then the model of wind turbine fault risk estimates is established.The experimental results that the method can achieve equipment fault risk quantitative evaluation more accurate. At the same time, the method improved the objectivity and feasibility of the evaluate process.

关键词

风电机组/故障风险评价/专家群决策/拟优一致判断矩阵/几何平均法/灰色关联度

Key words

wind turbine/fault risk evaluation/expert group decision/quasi-optimal consistent judgment matrix/geometric mean method/grey relational degree

分类

能源科技

引用本文复制引用

贾子文,顾煜炯,邢月,宋磊..改进专家群决策方法的风电机组故障风险评价研究[J].可再生能源,2018,36(3):453-460,8.

基金项目

中央高校基本科研业务专项基金项目(2016XS27) (2016XS27)

中国科学院太空应用重点实验室开放基金项目(LSU-2016-04-02). (LSU-2016-04-02)

可再生能源

OA北大核心CSTPCD

1671-5292

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