农业现代化研究2018，Vol.39Issue(2)：275-283,9.DOI:10.13872/j.1000-0275.2018.0008
乳业产业系统发展状态测度研究——基于协同论的实证分析
Systematic development assessment of dairy industry: An empirical analysis based on synergetic theory
摘要
Abstract
Scientifically assessing the systematic development of the dairy industry is an inherent requirement to enhance the competitiveness of dairy industry and realize the sustainable development of dairy industry. With complexity and internal interaction, the dairy industry can be divided into four subsystems: including raw milk supply, dairy processing, dairy sale and dairy consumption. Based on China's dairy industry data from 2006 to 2015 and applying the synergetic theory and the relaxation coefficient method, this paper analyzed the development level of the dairy industry and also included the ordered development level and the coordinated development of the subsystems in this research. Results show that: the maximum of synergetic degree of dairy industry was only 0.024, not reaching a good development stage. The order degrees of the subsystems were relatively low, with the highest value being 0.244 for the processing subsystem and with a slow increasing trend. There are interactions among the various subsystems: the interaction between dairy processing and dairy consumption is the strongest, the interaction between raw milk supply and dairy sales is the weakest. The research indicates that to achieve efficient development of dairy industry system, all the subsystems need to be improved. Therefore, this paper provides the following policy recommendations to promote the sustainable development of dairy industry: to strengthen the construction of high-quality milk source base and forage grass system; to continue to implement the merger and reorganization strategy of dairy enterprises, to enrich the product structure to further develop the domestic and international markets, to strengthen the brand building of dairy enterprises;to strengthen the achievements display in dairy industry and the guidance of consumers.关键词
乳业产业系统/乳制品/发展水平/协同论/序参量/弛豫系数Key words
dairy industry system/dairy product/development level/synergetic theory/ordinal parameter/relaxation coefficient分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
樊斌,周鹏..乳业产业系统发展状态测度研究——基于协同论的实证分析[J].农业现代化研究,2018,39(2):275-283,9.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目(71303039,71673042) （71303039,71673042）
东北农业大学青年才俊项目(14QC55).National Natural Science Foundation of China(71303039,71673042) （14QC55）
Young Talents Project of Northeast Agricultural University(14QC55). （14QC55）
