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1961-2012年黄土高原干旱时空分布特征

王利娜 朱清科 翁白莎 刘芳 王建伟 何霄嘉

水利水电技术2018,Vol.49Issue(2):15-22,8.
水利水电技术2018,Vol.49Issue(2):15-22,8.DOI:10.13928/j.cnki.wrahe.2018.02.003

1961-2012年黄土高原干旱时空分布特征

Temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of drought in Loess Plateau from 1961 to 2012

王利娜 1朱清科 2翁白莎 1刘芳 1王建伟 1何霄嘉3

作者信息

  • 1. 中国水利水电科学研究院流域水循环模拟与调控国家重点实验室,北京100038
  • 2. 北京林业大学水土保持学院水土保持与荒漠化防治教育部重点实验室,北京100083
  • 3. 中国21世纪议程管理中心,北京100038
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Drought is one of the major natural disasters in the Loess Plateau.In order to reveal the variation law of drought in the Loess Plateau,the observed daily precipitation data of 1961 ~2012 from 72 weather stations within the study area and around it are obtained by taking the region as the study object,and then the temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of the drought in the Loess Plateau in the recent 52 years is analyzed with the neural network algorithm and the method of mathematical statistics by taking the number of successive effective non-precipitation days as the drought index.The result indicates that (1) The number of the occurrences of different grade droughts in the Loess Plateau significantly changes within a year,while the occurrence number of mild drought is relatively more in spring and summer,the changing trends of the occurrence numbers of moderate drought and severe drought are similar and both of them are prone to occur in winter and the occurrence numbers of most of extraordinary droughts are concentrated in spring.(2) In recent 52 years,the changes of the droughts in different types of sub-regions are also significant,while the occurrence numbers of the droughts in all the sub-regions integratedly present increasing trends,and that the occurrence numbers of the droughts in all the sub-regions from 2001 to 2012 are the maximum among them.(3) The total occurrence number of the droughts in the Loess Plateau and the occurrence number of the droughts in spring therein integratedly present the trends of gradual increase from the southwest to the northeast,while most of the droughts in summer occur at the north border of the Loess Plateau,moreover,the regions with more occurrence numbers of drought in winter are the hill and gully areas in the northwest of the Loess Plateau,the river terraces of Shaaxi,Gansu and Ningxia as well as the north of the gully areas of the plateau,Fenhe River Plain and the hill-gully areas of Shanxi and Shaanxi;moreover,the droughts occurred in winter integratedly present a planar distribution.(4) The occurrence numbers of both the mild and the moderate droughts are generally similar,i.e.all of them present gradual increase trends from the southwest to the northeast,while the most of the severe droughts occur at the north border of the Loess Plateau and most of the extraordinary droughts occur at the northwest hill-gully areas of the Loess Plateau as well.The study result has a certain referential value for making the policy of disaster prevention and reduction for the Loess Plateau.

关键词

干旱/连续无雨日/时空分布/黄土高原/气候变化/水文水资源

Key words

drought/successive non-precipitation days/spatial and temporal distribution/Loess Plateau/climate change/hydrology and water resources

分类

大气科学

引用本文复制引用

王利娜,朱清科,翁白莎,刘芳,王建伟,何霄嘉..1961-2012年黄土高原干旱时空分布特征[J].水利水电技术,2018,49(2):15-22,8.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金青年科学基金(51409266,51409267,51279207) (51409266,51409267,51279207)

贵州省科技支撑计划(黔科合SY字(2014] 3066号) (黔科合SY字(2014] 3066号)

水利水电技术

OA北大核心CSTPCD

1000-0860

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