水利水电技术2018，Vol.49Issue(2)：37-42,6.DOI:10.13928/j.cnki.wrahe.2018.02.006
基于点面结合方法的洪水预测研究
Study on flood prediction based on method of integrating point with face
摘要
Abstract
At present,the study on the flood prediction for the river basin with large area still remains at the temporal prediction,and then the study made on the prediction of the specific location is insufficient.However,the study method of integrating point with face can temporally and spatially demonstrate the reasonability and the completeness of the predictions each other.All the occurrence years and specific locations of the floods occurred in the region of the Northeast China are predicted herein with the method of commensurability,while the accuracy of the prediction is enhanced through the prediction method of integrating point with face.The inevitability of the flood occurred in 2013 is verified with the face-prediction,and moreover,the flood that is to occur in the region of the Northeast China in 2017 is predicted as well.In the point-prediction,an auxiliary qualitative prediction on the abundant,normal and low inflows into the region of the Northeast China is made with four typical sites due to the discrepancy among the spatial distributions concerned.Except one of the sites has no significant year,all the other three sites show that 2017 is the year with quite abundant water,thus it is comprehensively judged that flood is quite possibly to occur in the region of the Northeast China in 2017.关键词
可公度/点面结合/东北地区/洪水预测/空间差异Key words
commensurability/integrating point with face/Northeast China/flood prediction/spatial discrepancy分类
地球科学引用本文复制引用
彭卓越,张丽丽,殷峻暹,李文龙,雷冠军,宋洋..基于点面结合方法的洪水预测研究[J].水利水电技术,2018,49(2):37-42,6.基金项目
国家重点基础研究发展计划项目(简称“973”项目)(2013CB036400) （简称“973”项目）
