中国电力2018，Vol.51Issue(1)：10-15,6.DOI:10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.201711268
中国新能源发展成本分析和政策建议
Cost Analysis and Policy Suggestions of China's New Energy Development
摘要
Abstract
Sustainable development of new energy relies on technical advancement and cost reduction to reduce subsidy dependence.Government also set target that wind power reaches grid parity on distribution side and solar power reaches grid parity on customer side in 2020.Based on analysis of China's new energy power generation cost,including historical changes and future trends,new energy power generation cost in 2020 and 2030,as well as situation of future grid parity,are predicted.The result shows wind power in "Three North" will reach grid parity on distribution side and solar power in east central China will reach grid parity on customer side in 2020.LCOE for solar PV is expected to be lower than wind generation in 2030.With consideration of existing critical problems,several policy suggestions to promote sustainable development of new energy in China are also proposed.关键词
新能源/度电成本/平价上网/政策建议Key words
new energy/LCOE/grid parity/policy suggestion分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
张运洲,黄碧斌..中国新能源发展成本分析和政策建议[J].中国电力,2018,51(1):10-15,6.基金项目
国家电网公司科技项目(XM2017040034425).This work is supported by Science and Technology Project of State Grid Corporation of China (No.XM2017040034425). （XM2017040034425）
