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基础设施系统与自然生态互动增长策略研究

孔静静 张超 韩传峰

中国人口·资源与环境2018,Vol.28Issue(1):44-53,10.
中国人口·资源与环境2018,Vol.28Issue(1):44-53,10.DOI:10.12062/cpre.20170603

基础设施系统与自然生态互动增长策略研究

Growth strategy of infrastructure system interacting with natural ecology

孔静静 1张超 2韩传峰3

作者信息

  • 1. 上海师范大学建筑工程学院,上海201400
  • 2. 上海财经大学上海市金融信息技术重点实验室,上海200433
  • 3. 同济大学经济与管理学院,上海200092
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Growth of the infrastructure system has not only provided the essential support for economic development and new-type urbanization,but also leads to excessive consumption of resources and deterioration of the natural environment.With the aim of sustainable development,interaction mechanism of infrastructure system and natural ecological environment is studied based on system dynamics theory.It is concluded that the diverse infrastructures relate to each other through their impacts on environmental pollution and population.Their negative feedback relation shows that transportation,power supply and water supply infrastructures cannot increase unlimitedly.Under a given level of economic development and technical conditions,there is a negative feedback of transportation infrastructure and natural environment,as the growth of road mileage increases the vehicle inventory,makes the air pollution worse,and then decreases population;cumulative malignant impact on natural ecology of power supply infrastructure is significant,as superposition of resource availability and environmental pollution for power supply infrastructure increase;negative feedback of water supply infrastructure and natural ecology exists,as the balance between annual sewage discharge and water source factor.Based on the systems archetypes analysis,it can be concluded that growth of one kind of infrastructure should take into account the growth of other kinds of infrastructure and related natural ecology.The key to improve the transportation infrastructure capacity is not the increasing of road mileage,but the improvement of public transportation for air pollution control.The key to improve the power supply infrastructure capacity is decoupling its relation with the air pollution of transportation infrastructure growth,such as reducing energy consumption or proportion of thermal power generation.The key to improve the water supply infrastructure capacity is not to increase sewage treatment facilities,but to reduce water pollution.

关键词

基础设施系统1/自然生态/相互作用/系统动力学/增长策略

Key words

infrastructure system/natural ecology/interaction mechanisms/system dynamics/growth strategy

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

孔静静,张超,韩传峰..基础设施系统与自然生态互动增长策略研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2018,28(1):44-53,10.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金青年项目“关联基础设施系统协同效应及失效控制策略”(批准号:71301095). (批准号:71301095)

中国人口·资源与环境

OA北大核心CSCDCSSCICSTPCD

1002-2104

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