中国人口·资源与环境2018，Vol.28Issue(2)：19-27,9.DOI:10.12062/cpre.20170905
能源转型下可再生能源消费对经济增长的门槛效应
Threshold effects of renewable energy consumption on economic growth under energy transformation
摘要
Abstract
Energy transformation and increasing renewable energy consumption are important energy strategies for all countries at present.Then,has energy transformation sacrificed economic growth? Is the impact of increasing renewable energy consumption on economic growth positive or negative? Are there any differences in the direction or magnitude of the impact among countries or regions,and what are the determinants behind them? We apply panel threshold effect model to test threshold effects of renewable energy consumption on economic growth of EU in this paper.The empirical result shows that:①The impact of increasing renewable energy consumption on economic growth is negative and nonlinear.②Renewable energy consumption has significant threshold effects on economic growth.When renewable energy subsidy is higher than threshold,energy consumption intensity is stronger than threshold,and GDP per capita is lower than threshold,the economic cost of increasing renewable energy consumption rises.③Now,the energy consumption intensity and GDP per capita of majority of EU countries are in the appropriate threshold regimes.In contrast,more and more countries in EU are in the high-subsidy group.The expansion of renewable energy consumption is mainly driven by high subsidy which sacrifices economic growth.④The average annual growth rates of renewable energy consumption showed no significant difference between high-subsidy and low-subsidy countries from 1990 to 2014.The average annual growth rate of renewable energy consumption in Britain and Belgium rank first and second respectively,but the subsidies of both countries have never surpassed threshold.The average annual growth rate of renewable energy consumption in Netherlands,which has always been in the high-subsidy group,is smaller than that in Belgium,Ireland,Poland and the United Kingdom which have always been in the low-subsidy group.Therefore,subsidy with higher economic cost is not the only effective means to increase renewable energy consumption.关键词
可再生能源消费/经济增长/门槛效应/可再生能源补贴Key words
renewable energy consumption/economic growth/panel threshold effect/renewable energy subsidy分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
齐绍洲,李杨..能源转型下可再生能源消费对经济增长的门槛效应[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2018,28(2):19-27,9.基金项目
欧盟Erasmus+让·莫内项目“欧盟经济一体化中的低碳经济及其政策Low carbon economy and its policy in economic integration of EU”(批准号:564792-EPP-1-2015-1-CN-EPPJMO-CHAIR) （批准号:564792-EPP-1-2015-1-CN-EPPJMO-CHAIR）
国家自然科学基金青年科学基金项目“气候政策、技术升级与国际贸易——基于异质性企业视角”(批准号:71603191). （批准号:71603191）
