中国人口·资源与环境2018，Vol.28Issue(2)：77-85,9.DOI:10.12062/cpre.20170418
电网拓扑结构引致二氧化碳减排的空间溢出机制
The spatial spillover mechanism of carbon dioxide emission reduction caused by electric power grid topology construction
摘要
Abstract
The paper based on the spatial correlation of carbon dioxide emission index,illustrate the changing mechanism of spatial correlation caused by inter-provincial high voltage electric power lines.A conformation method of spatial weights matrix according to the operation sequence of inter-provincial high voltage power lines of China in the period of 1998-2014 is presented to reflect the degree of interconnection of inter-provincial energy facilities.The dynamic spatial Dubin panel model is adopted to overcome the ignored bias error induced by the ignored explanatory variable in the static one,and the endogenous variable is replaced by their lag one to control the endogeneity bias error.At the same time the counterfactual econometric method is adopted to analyze the effect caused by the 12 high voltage electric power lines coming from the Chinese state plan named after "Air pollution prevention and control plan".The finding is that:Firstly,the interconnection of inter-provincial high voltage electric power grid makes carbon dioxide emission index to show spatial homogeneity,could increase the index level of provinces with low emission index and help to reduce the index level of provinces with hight emission index;Secondly,the action that reduce provincial energy intensity is the key factor to reduce the index level,resulted from the spatial spillover effect caused by inter-provincial topology construction of power grid,especially after the operation of 12 high voltage power lines,and the actions that increase the proportion of electric power consumption and adjust industrial structure are also important factors.The changing mechanism of spatial correlation of inter-provincial carbon dioxide emission index can be evaluated by this method,and provides a econometric method of political measures to energy-saving and emission-reduction effected by the interconnection of inter-provincial energy facilities.关键词
电网拓扑结构/空间权重矩阵/动态空间杜宾模型/空间溢出效应Key words
electric power grid topology construction/spatial weight matrix/dynamic spatial Dubin model/spatial spillover effect分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
王斌,傅强..电网拓扑结构引致二氧化碳减排的空间溢出机制[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2018,28(2):77-85,9.基金项目
国家科技支撑计划重大项目“山地城市电动汽车分时模式及支撑技术研究与示范”(批准号:2015BAG10B00). （批准号:2015BAG10B00）
