中国人口·资源与环境2018，Vol.28Issue(3)：39-45,7.DOI:10.12062/cpre.20170703
长江经济带城镇化进程中的水资源约束效应分析
Water resource constraint on urbanization in Yangtze River Economic Belt
摘要
Abstract
The progress of urbanization cannot be achieved without the support of water resources.Water constraint on urbanization will become the key factor to the speed of urbanization process.Within the theory of resource constraint,the suitable space measurement method is selected based on spatial overflow perspective combined with the strict hypothesis testing,then a growth constraint model is built to calculate the water constraint intensity on urbanization in the Yangtze River Economic Belt with consideration of spatial spillover.The results show that the constraint effect of water on urbanization is remarkable,urbanization process declines 0.6％ due to water constraint.According to results of each areas,provinces in the Yangtze River Economic Belt can be divided into no,medium and high constraint types.In detail,the urbanization process in Shanghai and Zhejiang is not constrained by water resources,the water constraints in Jiangsu,Chongqing and Yunnan are greater than 0.5％,which belong to strongly restricted region,the constraint of the remaining area is between 0 and 0.5％,which belongs to the medium-restricted region.Most of regions are subject to medium water constraint,and show remarkable space conglomeration effect.Furthermore,water constraint intensity is higher when spatial dependence is not considered,implying that there will be large bias when using traditional approaches without consideration of the spatial correlation,meanwhile it reflects that the coordinated development of regional regions can reduce obstructing effect of water resources.This study further indicates that even in the Yangtze River Economic Belt with excellent water resources endowment,urbanization process is also restricted by water resource,which should be vigilant and by other areas.Therefore,in order to alleviate the effect of water constraint on urbanization,spatial linkage effect and collaborative capability should be exerted when enacting water saving policy.关键词
城镇化/水资源/长江经济带/空间溢出Key words
urbanization/water resource/Yangtze River Belt/spatial spillover分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
秦腾,章恒全,佟金萍,马剑锋,支彦玲..长江经济带城镇化进程中的水资源约束效应分析[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2018,28(3):39-45,7.基金项目
国家社会科学基金项目“用水效率异质特征下跨区域多部门水权配置及政策”(批准号:14BGL097),“基于降雨量指数保险的农业干旱风险控制及对策研究”(批准号:15BGL128):2014年度江苏高校“青蓝工程”优秀青年骨干教师培养对象资助项目“多区域多部门的水权配置研究” （批准号:14BGL097）
2016年度江苏省“333工程”第三层次人才培养项目“虚拟水与实体水的空间配置研究” （）
2016年度江苏普通高校学术单位研究生科研创新计划项目“居民消费对各行业用水的影响及诱发效应研究”. （）
