曲阜师范大学学报（自然科学版）2018，Vol.25Issue(2)：39-44,6.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1001-5337.2018.2.039
高危行业人因违章风险的概率描述改进
An Improvement in the Illustration how Deliberate Violation Influences the Possibility of Risk Occurrence in High-danger Industries
摘要
Abstract
Analyze the hidden characteristics of the violation behavior and the couasion of the managers and researchers are analyzed.The traditional cognition limitations of the probability of risk occurrence in high-danger industries is pointed out.Starting with the basic concept,applying the probability theory and other mathematical tools,this paper analyzes the operating mechanism about the probability of risk occur-rence of the violation in high-danger industries at the theoretical level,and the improved probability of risk occurrence of the violation was put forward,which was proved the rationality on the probability and practi-cal application level.Finally,research on the decomposition model about the probability of risk occurrence of the operation in high-danger industries,and some risk management advice was proposed,such as"nar-row molecular"and"zero moral hazard".关键词
高危行业/风险管理/违章/道德风险/出险概率Key words
high-danger industries/risk management/violation/moral hazard/the probability of risk occurrence分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
石玉凤,吴进辉,荣亚飞..高危行业人因违章风险的概率描述改进[J].曲阜师范大学学报（自然科学版）,2018,25(2):39-44,6.基金项目
中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金(2010YG15). （2010YG15）
