水资源与水工程学报2018，Vol.29Issue(1)：128-133,6.DOI:10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2018.01.21
基于年防洪标准的水库分期优化调度研究
Research on optimized reservoir staged operation based on annual flood control standard
摘要
Abstract
Taking Mianhuatan reservoir as an example,staged optimization operation without reducing annual flood control standard is implemented.Traditional hydrological frequency method is used to calculate stage design flood,and probability combination should be consistent with annual flood probability.Two variable sequences between staged design flood control capacity and frequency are established.The flood risk is calculated according to flood control capacity under staged limited water level.Under the premise that risk combination satisfied annual flood control standard,long series simulation is conducted based on power generation and flood regulation rules,to seek great overall benefit by transferring stage's risk and benefit.The results show that,limited water level in main and secondary flood season is 168.78 m and 169.58m respectively,flood risk rate is namely 1.217％ and 0.783％,whose combination risk ratio is 1.99％,consistent with annual flood control standard 2％,and has greate benefit.关键词
汛限水位/分期调度/概率组合/长系列模拟/风险效益转移/效益最大化Key words
limited water level/staged operation/probability combination/long series simulation/risk -benefit transfer/maximum benefit分类
建筑与水利引用本文复制引用
张涛,蔡振华,刘英豪,于东平..基于年防洪标准的水库分期优化调度研究[J].水资源与水工程学报,2018,29(1):128-133,6.基金项目
水利部公益性行业科研专项(201501054) （201501054）
