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中国人口出生率的空间非均衡性及地域差异分析

苏理云 杨晓鹤 柏国应 李凤兰

重庆理工大学学报(自然科学版)2018,Vol.32Issue(3):249-258,10.
重庆理工大学学报(自然科学版)2018,Vol.32Issue(3):249-258,10.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1674-8425(z).2018.03.034

中国人口出生率的空间非均衡性及地域差异分析

Spatial Inequality and Regional Difference of Population Birth Rate in China

苏理云 1杨晓鹤 1柏国应 1李凤兰2

作者信息

  • 1. 重庆理工大学 理学院,重庆 400054
  • 2. 重庆理工大学 图书馆,重庆 400054
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Based on the population birth rate data of 3 1 provinces and cities in China in the past 2001-2015 years,the spatial distribution and regional differences of China's population birth rate are dynamically analyzed by using the Moran's I index and Thiel index.The population birth rate shows a spatial non-equilibrium characteristic from east to west and a significant positive spatial aggregation in China.That is,the eastern region has a low birth rate and a high birth rate in the western region. And the high-high clustering occurs mainly in provinces including Guangxi,Guangdong,Hunan,and Jiangxi,while the low-low pattern mainly in Hebei,Jilin and other north provinces.The regional difference of birth rate in China is significant and the difference is decreasing.It shows that the intra-regional difference is far greater than the interregional difference,and the intra-regional difference is mainly influenced by the difference of northern regions.The influence of population birth rate differences within the region is mainly affected by the difference in north.According to the above conclusion,it can better develop regional population policy,narrowing the regional differences of population,and improve our fertility rate.

关键词

人口出生率/空间非均衡性/地域差异/Moran指数

Key words

population birth rate/spatial inequality/regional difference/Moran index

分类

数理科学

引用本文复制引用

苏理云,杨晓鹤,柏国应,李凤兰..中国人口出生率的空间非均衡性及地域差异分析[J].重庆理工大学学报(自然科学版),2018,32(3):249-258,10.

基金项目

重庆市社会科学规划培育项目(2016PY38) (2016PY38)

重庆理工大学学报(自然科学版)

OA北大核心CSTPCD

1674-8425

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