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基于云模型的水利现代化评价方法与应用

黄显峰 刘展志 方国华

水利水电科技进展2017,Vol.37Issue(6):54-61,8.
水利水电科技进展2017,Vol.37Issue(6):54-61,8.DOI:10.3880/j.issn.1006-7647.2017.06.010

基于云模型的水利现代化评价方法与应用

Evaluation and application of water conservancy modernization index system based on a cloud model

黄显峰 1刘展志 1方国华1

作者信息

  • 1. 河海大学水利水电学院,江苏 南京 210098
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Water conservancy modemization(WCM) forms an important part of the national modernization.To make the evaluation of WCM be more scientific and reasonable,an evaluation index system consisting of seven sub systems and twenty seven indices is established,including flood control and waterlogged reduction,water resources guarantee,water environment and ecological protection,rural water project guarantee,urban drainage and supply,water management service and water conservancy development guarantee.A cloud model(CM),which has both fuzziness and randomness is used for the evaluation.The CM determines the comprehensive evaluation index weight by using backward and forward cloud generator,and calculates the rank by condition cloudgenerator.The paper uses set pair analysis as a comparative analysis(SPA).A case study is put forward with XinyiCity of Jiangsu province.The results show that,the evaluation values are 85.53 (CM) and 84.56(SPA)in 2015 and the level of WCM in Xinyi City is basic modernization,consistent with the actual situation.In 2020,the evaluation values are 93.71 (CM) and 91.38 (SPA),both can achieve the level of comprehensive modernization,consistent with the 13th Five-Year Plan.The effectiveness and applicability of the CM is verified.

关键词

水利现代化/指标体系/云模型/集对分析/新沂市

Key words

water conservancy modernization/evaluation index system/cloud model/set pair analysis/Xinyi City

分类

建筑与水利

引用本文复制引用

黄显峰,刘展志,方国华..基于云模型的水利现代化评价方法与应用[J].水利水电科技进展,2017,37(6):54-61,8.

基金项目

国家重点研发计划(2016YFC0400909) (2016YFC0400909)

国家自然科学基金(51279047) (51279047)

水利水电科技进展

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1006-7647

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