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基于权重反分析的岩溶地面塌陷危险性评价方法研究

李建朋 聂庆科 刘泉声 于俊超

岩土力学2018,Vol.39Issue(4):1395-1400,6.
岩土力学2018,Vol.39Issue(4):1395-1400,6.DOI:10.16285/j.rsm.2016.1048

基于权重反分析的岩溶地面塌陷危险性评价方法研究

Risk assessment method of karst ground collapse based on weight back analysis

李建朋 1聂庆科 2刘泉声 3于俊超2

作者信息

  • 1. 河北省交通规划设计院,河北石家庄 050011
  • 2. 河北建设勘察研究院有限公司,河北石家庄 050031
  • 3. 武汉大学 土木建筑工程学院,湖北武汉 430072
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

A new risk assessment method for karst ground collapse is presented in order to quickly and accurately assess the risk of surface subsidence in covered karst area.Firstly,the main factors were identified by mechanism analysis of karst ground collapse,and secondly the weight back analysis method was used to obtain the weights of main factors of karst ground collapse based on 100 typical engineering examples in Tangshan city.As a result,a score sheet of comprehensive hazard evaluation of karst ground collapse was established.Studies have shown that the weights of selected five main factors are as follows:karst development degree-0.338,water-resisting capacity of impermeable layer-0.255,overburden thickness-0.186,depth of bedrock water level-0.174,and distance from the fault-0.047.The karst ground collapse hazard evaluation results of the 100 project examples based on the proposed score sheet have shown that the correct rate is 99%,which can prove that the proposed method has a good performance in feasibility and effectiveness.In addition,the proposed method has the advantage of easy access of evaluation factors and high efficiency,and therefore it is worth popularizing and applying.

关键词

岩浴/地面塌陷/危险性评价/权重/反分析

Key words

karst/ground collapse/risk assessment/weight/back analysis

分类

建筑与水利

引用本文复制引用

李建朋,聂庆科,刘泉声,于俊超..基于权重反分析的岩溶地面塌陷危险性评价方法研究[J].岩土力学,2018,39(4):1395-1400,6.

基金项目

河北省交通运输厅科技项目(No.20130012).This work was supported by Hebei Provincial Department of Transportation Science and Technology Project (20130012) (No.20130012)

岩土力学

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1000-7598

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