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"一带一路"背景下广东省物流水平对其出口贸易的影响——基于引力模型的实证研究

王爱虎 王梦瑶 贺裕雁

工业工程2018,Vol.21Issue(2):1-8,8.
工业工程2018,Vol.21Issue(2):1-8,8.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1007-7375.e17-1289

"一带一路"背景下广东省物流水平对其出口贸易的影响——基于引力模型的实证研究

Impact of Guangdong Province's Logistics on Its Export under the Background of the Belt and Road Initiative—an Empirical Study based on the Gravity Model

王爱虎 1王梦瑶 1贺裕雁1

作者信息

  • 1. 华南理工大学 工商管理学院,广东 广州 510640
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The Belt and Road initiative creates development opportunities for export. As there is a strong relationship between international trade and logistics, the impact of logistics on export under the new background is studied to find ways of promoting Guangdong Province's export by improving logistics. An augmented Gravity Model is built by regarding the Belt and Road initiative as a dummy variable and adding variables representing Guangdong Province's logistics to the Gravity Model. Generalized Least Square method is used to make regression analysis for these variables, and the regression shows that enhancing Guangdong Province's logistics can lower export barriers caused by distance, and boost the positive effects generated by APEC and the Belt and Road initiative. Specifically, if the port efficiency and road efficiency is improved respectively by 10%, the export volumes will increase by 11.4% and 5.2%. So it is concluded that Guangdong Province can boost export by putting more effort in improving port and road efficiency.

关键词

"一带一路"/物流/出口贸易/贸易引力模型/广东省

Key words

the Belt and Road/logistics/export trade/Gravity Model of Trade/Guangdong Province

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

王爱虎,王梦瑶,贺裕雁.."一带一路"背景下广东省物流水平对其出口贸易的影响——基于引力模型的实证研究[J].工业工程,2018,21(2):1-8,8.

工业工程

OA北大核心CHSSCDCSTPCD

1007-7375

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