海洋预报2018，Vol.35Issue(2)：27-35,9.DOI:10.11737/j.issn.1003-0239.2018.02.004
台风“妮妲”风暴潮与近岸浪的数值模拟与预报
Numerical simulation and forecasting on storm surge and offshore wave of typhoon "Nida"
摘要
Abstract
Based on a set of storm surge and offshore wave coupling model (ADCIRC-SWAN) with high resolution and unstructured grid,this research carries out the numerical simulation and forecast for storm surge and offshore wave by analyzing the No.4 tropical cyclone "Nida" in 2016.The results show that the model can successfully simulate the storm surge and offshore wave.The simulations are in a good agreement with the measured trend.The averaged relative error of 24-hour and 12-hour forecast's peak of storm surge is 72.42％ and 38.54％.The averaged relative error of 24-hour and 12-hour forecast's maximum significant wave height is 34.55％ and 16.3％.Because of the differences between the forecasting and measured paths,there are extreme variation between the forecasting and measured data.The error of offshore wave is significant less than that of the storm surge.Compared with offshore wave,the forecasting of storm surge is more relative to typhoon moving path that deserves our attention.关键词
台风路径/风暴潮/近岸浪/数值模拟Key words
typhoon path/storm surge/offshore wave/numerical simulation分类
海洋科学引用本文复制引用
张露,傅赐福,董剑希,于福江..台风“妮妲”风暴潮与近岸浪的数值模拟与预报[J].海洋预报,2018,35(2):27-35,9.基金项目
国家重点研发计划(2016YFC1401503). （2016YFC1401503）
