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华南前汛期降水的年代际异常特征及其成因

李丽平 周林 俞子闲

大气科学学报2018,Vol.41Issue(2):186-197,12.
大气科学学报2018,Vol.41Issue(2):186-197,12.DOI:10.13878/j.cnki.dqkxxb.20160224001

华南前汛期降水的年代际异常特征及其成因

Interdecadal anomaly of rainfall during the first rainy season in South China and its possible causes

李丽平 1周林 2俞子闲1

作者信息

  • 1. 南京信息工程大学气象灾害预报预警与评估协同创新中心/气象灾害教育部重点实验室,江苏南京210044
  • 2. 南京信息工程大学大气科学学院,江苏南京210044
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Based on the monthly rainfall data at 160 stations of China,the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis dataset,and NOAA sea surface temperature dataset during 1981-2013,this paper investigates the spatial and temporal distributions of interdecadal precipitation anomaly and its possible causes during the first rainy season in South China.Results show that:(1) Precipitation during the first rainy season in South China has an significant interdecadal turning from negative to positive anomalies,which occurs around 1992,and the center of the most evident anomaly locates in northeast Guangxi and north Guangdong.(2)The significant interdecadal changes in 1990s when Southcold-North-warm in the upper troposphere (40°N bounded) and Lower-warm-Upper-cold in the troposphere occur,make the high-low level circulation field presenting a favorable situation,which is favor of the cold air from the north meeting with the warm and wet water vapor from Bay of Bengal and western Pacific and makes a rising situation of convergence in South China.The 500 hPa meridional circulation at mid-latitude enhances,the Bay of Bengal trough deepens in tropics,the East Asia-Pacific (EAP) pattern shows "+-+" anomalies from south to north,the western Pacific subtropical high is strong and southward,the 850 hPa wind field has an abnormal anticyclone(abnormal cyclone) circulation east to the Philippines(from Hetao of China to Japan Sea),South China is controlled by a cyclone circulation,and the subtropical westerly jet at the upper troposphere is weak and southward.These all result in a significant interdecadal turning of precipitation from less to more during the first rainy season in South China.During the two periods before and after the interdecadal turning,there are significant differences in the strength and position of the Bay of Bengal trough over the tropical,the western Pacific subtropical high and the ridge near the Gulf of Alaska in EAP teleconnection wave train,and the ridge to the south and the west of Lake Baikal over the mid latitude,so the interdecadal anomalies of these systems are the important reasons leading to the precipitation anomaly during the first rainy season in South China.(3)The interdecadal anomaly of sea surface temperature in the key region of South Pacific has great effects on the general atmospheric circulation in East Asia and precipitation in South China during the first rainy season.Sea surface temperature in the key area of South Pacific shows remarkable warming trend in the early 1990s.During the warm(cold) period,South China is controlled by the anomalous low altitude cyclone (anticyclone) circulation,and the upper-tropospheric westerly jet is weak and southward(strong and northward),which makes the abundant(lack) of precipitation in South China.

关键词

华南前汛期/降水/年代际异常/东亚大气环流/南太平洋海温

Key words

the first rainy season in South China/precipitation/interdecadal anomaly/general atmospheric circulation in East Asia/SST in South Pacific

引用本文复制引用

李丽平,周林,俞子闲..华南前汛期降水的年代际异常特征及其成因[J].大气科学学报,2018,41(2):186-197,12.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金资助项目(41330425) (41330425)

公益性行业(气象)科研专项(GYHY201406024) (气象)

江苏高校优势学科建设工程资助项目(PADA) (PADA)

大气科学学报

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1674-7097

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