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滦河流域气候变化与人类活动对径流的影响

师忱 袁士保 史常青 赵廷宁

水土保持学报2018,Vol.32Issue(2):264-269,6.
水土保持学报2018,Vol.32Issue(2):264-269,6.DOI:10.13870/j.cnki.stbcxb.2018.02.039

滦河流域气候变化与人类活动对径流的影响

Effects of Climate Change and Human Activities on Runoff in Luanhe Basin

师忱 1袁士保 2史常青 1赵廷宁1

作者信息

  • 1. 北京林业大学水土保持学院,北京100083
  • 2. 北京市园林绿化局,北京100013
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摘要

Abstract

In this study,Luanhe basin was chose as the study area,and sensitivity analysis and double mass curve were used to analyze the effects of climate change and human activity on runoff.The results showed that the runoff in Luanhe basin decreased obviously,and the runoff in the change period (1980 2013) decreased 52.59 mm (50.43%) compared with the reference period (1956-1979);the sensitivity coefficients of runoff to precipitation and potential evapotranspiration were 0.336 1 and-0.123 5,respectively;in this change,the impact of climate change was 22.23 mm,while the impact of human activities was 32.07 mm and accounted for 57.26%,which was far greater than the climate change (39.69%).The human activities were the main impact factors causing the decrease of runoff in the Luanhe River basin.

关键词

气候变化/人类活动/径流/滦河流域

Key words

climate change/human activities/streamflow/Luanhe basin

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

师忱,袁士保,史常青,赵廷宁..滦河流域气候变化与人类活动对径流的影响[J].水土保持学报,2018,32(2):264-269,6.

基金项目

北京市园林绿化局委托项目(2016HXFWSBXY014) (2016HXFWSBXY014)

国家重点研发计划项目(2017YFC0504400) (2017YFC0504400)

水土保持学报

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1009-2242

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