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运用古地震数据分析布朗过程时间模型中强震复发间隔变异系数

惠春 潘华 郭星 李金臣 郎从

地震学报2018,Vol.40Issue(2):241-253,13.
地震学报2018,Vol.40Issue(2):241-253,13.DOI:10.11939/jass.20170146

运用古地震数据分析布朗过程时间模型中强震复发间隔变异系数

Aperiodicity parameters of reoccurrence intervals of large earthquakes in the Brownian passage time model based on paleo-earthquake data

惠春 1潘华 1郭星 2李金臣 1郎从1

作者信息

  • 1. 中国 北京 100081 中国地震局地球物理研究所
  • 2. 中国 北京 100082 环境保护部核与辐射安全中心
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Based on the 45 seismic sequences collected in Chinese mainland,the maximum likelihood estimation method is used to calculate the variation coefficient of earthquake sequences with different sample size,and the correlativities with the parameters of the corresponding fault source are carried out,and then the estimated values are standardized.Finally,a general value ac=0.37 of aperiodicity is given.The results of the correlation analysis show that the variation coefficient is negatively correlated with the length of the fault and the horizontal slip rate,so the application of the general aperiodicity value (αc=0.37) is analyzed.The result show that the three a values (0.2l,0.37,0.53) obtained by performing standard deviation operation to αc are applied to the active faults with significantly differences in characteristics.

关键词

复发间隔/变异系数/相关性/标准化

Key words

recurrence interval/aperiodicity parameter/correlation/normalization

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

惠春,潘华,郭星,李金臣,郎从..运用古地震数据分析布朗过程时间模型中强震复发间隔变异系数[J].地震学报,2018,40(2):241-253,13.

基金项目

国家科技支撑项目(2012BAK15B01-08)资助. (2012BAK15B01-08)

地震学报

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

0253-3782

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