电力系统自动化2018，Vol.42Issue(9)：1-15,15.DOI:10.7500/AEPS20180417008
关于能源转型分析的评述(一)转型要素及研究范式
A Review of Energy Transition Analysis Part One Elements and Paradigms
摘要
Abstract
This paper extracts the elements of energy transition issue,emphasizing that the behaviors of stakeholders such as policy makers,and energy suppliers can impact the energy transition dynamic significantly.The main aims(explanation, prediction,projection,and optimization),contents,and challenges of energy transition researches are presented,and the state-of-the-art research paradigms for energy transition and their limitations on addressing the challenges introduced by human behaviors are reviewed.Finally,this paper suggests a new research paradigm,hybrid simulation of technology-economic-behavior model with human participants,in which the energy transition target and pathway is optimized by repeatedly carrying out experimental economic simulation.The subsequent paper will discuss the uncertainties and analysis approaches in the energy transition researches.关键词
综合能源/能源转型/能源系统仿真/框架模型/人类行为/混合仿真Key words
comprehensive energy system/energy transition/energy system simulation/framework model/human behavior/hybrid simulation引用本文复制引用
舒印彪,薛禹胜,蔡斌,韩建国,凌文,陈新宇,M.B.MCELROY..关于能源转型分析的评述(一)转型要素及研究范式[J].电力系统自动化,2018,42(9):1-15,15.基金项目
中国工程院重大咨询项目(2016-ZD-07)"碳约束条件下我国能源结构优化研究" （2016-ZD-07）
中国神华能源股份有限公司科技项目(SHGF-16-68)"神华清洁能源战略决策优化模型研究".This work is support by Major Consulting Project of Chinese Academy of Engineering(No.2016-ZD-07)and the Science and Technology Project of China Shenhua Energy Company Limited(No.SHGF-16-68). （SHGF-16-68）
