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基于小波与最小资源分配网络的超短期风电功率预测研究

杨杰 霍志红 何永生 郭苏 邱良 许昌

电力系统保护与控制2018,Vol.46Issue(9):55-61,7.
电力系统保护与控制2018,Vol.46Issue(9):55-61,7.DOI:10.7667/PSPC171217

基于小波与最小资源分配网络的超短期风电功率预测研究

Ultra-short-term wind power prediction based on wavelet and minimum resource allocation network

杨杰 1霍志红 1何永生 2郭苏 1邱良 2许昌1

作者信息

  • 1. 河海大学能源与电气学院,江苏 南京 211100
  • 2. 中国电建昆明勘测设计研究院有限公司,云南 昆明 650051
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Because the actual wind speed and wind power sequences are fluctuating, intermittent and the hidden node number of RBF neural network is unchangeable after the structure of RBF neural network is confirmed, a method of ultra-short-term wind power prediction based on wavelet and minimum resource allocation network is proposed. Firstly the historical wind speed and wind power sequences are denoised and multi frequency decomposed by wavelet transform, several high frequency signals and a low frequency signals are obtained. Then neural network prediction models of different frequency signals are built respectively to predict the wind power in the next 4 hours. Finally, the final ultra-short-term wind power prediction result is obtained from wavelet reconstruction of different components. The experimental results show that this method can effectively improve the prediction accuracy.

关键词

风电场/神经网络/小波分析/最小资源分配网络/超短期风电功率预测

Key words

wind farm/neural network/wavelet analysis/minimum resource allocation network/ultra-short-term wind power prediction

引用本文复制引用

杨杰,霍志红,何永生,郭苏,邱良,许昌..基于小波与最小资源分配网络的超短期风电功率预测研究[J].电力系统保护与控制,2018,46(9):55-61,7.

基金项目

中丹国际科技合作专项项目资助(2014DFG62530) (2014DFG62530)

国家自然科学基金项目资助(51507053) (51507053)

中央高校基本科研业务费项目-科技发展前瞻性研究专项资助(2017B42314)This work is supported by Sino-Dan International S&T Cooperation Program(No.2014DFG62530),National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.51507053),and Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(No.2017B42314). (2017B42314)

电力系统保护与控制

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1674-3415

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