中国电力2018，Vol.51Issue(5)：172-178,7.DOI:10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.201701148
湖南省电力消费强度下降原因解析
Analysis on the Causes for the Decline of Electricity Consumption Intensity in Hunan Province
摘要
Abstract
To explore the causes for the sharp decline of unit GDP power consumption in Hunan Province,the paper improves the accounting method for the industrial structure rationality evaluating indicators,and synthetizes the Theil index.A generalized additive model is established to study the impact mechanism and impact intensity of Hunan province's industrial structure rationality,the energy consumption structure and technological progress on the intensity of the power consumption.The empirical results show that the rationality of industrial structure has significant and non-monotonic influence on the power consumption intensity,and the technological progress has significant and monotonic influence on the unit value-added power consumption,while the energy consumption structure has insignificant influence on the unit GDP power consumption.To verify the universality of the conclusions,the author further studies six provinces in central China,and all the results are consistent and strongly proves the correctness of the conclusions.关键词
单位GDP电耗/产业结构合理性/能源消费结构/技术进步Key words
unit GDP power consumption/industrial structure rationality/energy consumption structure/technological progress分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
陈火焱,陈佳,李凯,谢欣涛..湖南省电力消费强度下降原因解析[J].中国电力,2018,51(5):172-178,7.基金项目
国家电网公司科技项目(5216A018000M).This work is supported by the Science and Technology Project of SGCC (No.5216A018000M). （5216A018000M）
