农业现代化研究2018，Vol.39Issue(3)：440-450,11.DOI:10.13872/j.1000-0275.2018.0029
环境规制对中国生猪养殖生产布局与产业转移的影响分析
The influences of environmental regulations on hog production distribution and industry movement in China
摘要
Abstract
With the gradual implementation of the livestock restricting and banning environmental policy, environmental regulations have become the primary challenge that affects the hog breeding industry in China. Based on a panel data of Chinese provincial hog breeding from 2004 to 2015, and the relevant theories of the Porter hypothesis, this paper empirically explored the mechanism of environmental regulations on the production distribution and spatial movement of hog industry in China. Results show that the hog breeding industry and environmental regulation intensity have a strong spatial correlation and a hierarchical aggregation on its spatial distribution. In addition, there exists an "inverted N-shape" relationship between the development level of the hog breeding industry and environmental regulations: under the environmental regulations, the development level of the hog breeding industry shows a declining-increasing-declining pattern. This paper also finds that Shanghai, Jiangsu, Guangdong and other five provinces have crossed the second inflection point on the inverted N-shape curve, where hog farming in the exiting stage has been declined. Other 10 provinces, such as Hebei, Hubei, and Hunan, will reach the second inflection point in a short time, where hog breeding industry is in a slow and saturated growth stage. While hog farming in the six central and western provinces, such as Guizhou and Guangxi, is in a period of rapid growth. The breeding levels of hog in Heilongjiang and Inner Mongolia are low but with a great potential growth in the future. The difference of environmental regulations makes hog breeding industry movement from the southeast to the west and the northeast with the following trends:"South hog northward, and east hog westward". In summary, this paper also provides the following policy suggestions:to implement different levels of environmental regulations and policies in different regions, to strengthen environmental protection investment to achieve large-scale operations in response to environmental supervision, and to pay close attention to the supply of hogs to prevent pork price from soaring.关键词
环境规制/生猪养殖/空间布局/产业转移/空间计量模型Key words
environmental regulations/hog breeding/spatial distribution/industry movement/spatial econometric model分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
周建军,谭莹,胡洪涛..环境规制对中国生猪养殖生产布局与产业转移的影响分析[J].农业现代化研究,2018,39(3):440-450,11.基金项目
国家自然科学基金青年项目(71503086) （71503086）
教育部人文社会科学项目(14JYA790050).National Natural Science Foundation for Young Scientists of China(71503086) （14JYA790050）
the Foundation of Humanity and Social Sciences of the Ministry of Education of China(14JYA790050). （14JYA790050）
