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基于最大熵投影寻踪模型的云南省近10a 水资源承载力评价

苏敏杰 白栩嘉

长江科学院院报2018,Vol.35Issue(6):12-18,7.
长江科学院院报2018,Vol.35Issue(6):12-18,7.DOI:10.11988/ckyyb.20161295

基于最大熵投影寻踪模型的云南省近10a 水资源承载力评价

Assessment of Water Resources Carrying Capacity by Maximum Entropy Projection Pursuit Model:Case Study of Yunnan Province in Recent Decade

苏敏杰 1白栩嘉1

作者信息

  • 1. 云南省水利水电勘测设计研究院,昆明 650021
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Regional water resources carrying capacity in Yunnan Province is assessed by integrating maximum entro-py with projection pursuit (MEPP)premised on an index system and rating standard involving water resources,e-conomy and society,as well as ecological system.Data in the recent decade from 2006 to 2015 is taken as a case study.A MEPP model is established with its target functions constructed by random samples between the thresholds of the target classification criteria and its optimal projection direction optimized by shuffled frog leaping algorithm (SFLA).Moreover,models of biogeographic optimization (BBO)-MEPP,Harmony Search (HS)-MEPP and Par-ticle Swarm Optimization (PSO)-MEPP are built as well for comparison.Results demonstrate that the SFLA is of better ability of searching optimal values globally,with its optimum value,most inferior value,mean value and standard deviation superior to those of BBO,HS and PSO.According to the results of SFLA-MEPP model,the wa-ter resources carrying capacity in Yunnan Province from 2006 to 2007 and from 2011 to 2012 are overall loadable, and in the other years are rated as loadable.The carrying capacity of water resources in Yunnan Province had been enhancing with time in 2006-2015,yet the trend was insignificant.The results of SFLA-MEPP model are identical with those of BBO-MEPP model with different ranking orders;but are different with those of HS-MEPP model and PSO-MEPP model.

关键词

水资源承载力/云南省/投影寻踪/最大熵/混合蛙跳算法

Key words

water resources carrying capacity/Yunnan Province/projection pursuit/maximum entropy/shuffled frog leaping algorithm

分类

建筑与水利

引用本文复制引用

苏敏杰,白栩嘉..基于最大熵投影寻踪模型的云南省近10a 水资源承载力评价[J].长江科学院院报,2018,35(6):12-18,7.

基金项目

国家水体污染控制与治理科技重大专项(201307102-006-01 ) (201307102-006-01 )

院士工作站建设专项(2015IC013) (2015IC013)

长江科学院院报

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1001-5485

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