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基于融合百度指数的电商订单量组合预测研究

王长琼 曹乜蜻 王艳丽 邱杰 刘晓宇

计算机工程与应用2018,Vol.54Issue(12):219-225,7.
计算机工程与应用2018,Vol.54Issue(12):219-225,7.DOI:10.3778/j.issn.1002-8331.1712-0369

基于融合百度指数的电商订单量组合预测研究

Combination forecasting of e-commerce orders based on integration of Baidu index

王长琼 1曹乜蜻 1王艳丽 1邱杰 1刘晓宇1

作者信息

  • 1. 武汉理工大学 物流工程学院,武汉 430063
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Under the explosive growth of e-commerce orders, the ability to apply order-derived data is highly demanded. How to utilize the data for fast and dynamic prediction is the key point of online-shopping behavior study. In order to improve the stability of prediction model, this paper proposes a combination forecasting model based on integration of web search index, which incorporates BP neural network, Adaboost-based BP neural network and Support Vector Machine(SVM). The paper also constructs an index system integrating Baidu index and order-derived information, for the sake of enhancing accuracy. Final contrast experiment results show the effectiveness of using web search indexes as an influence factor of forecasting model.

关键词

订单量/百度指数/组合预测

Key words

order/Baidu index/combination forecasting

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

王长琼,曹乜蜻,王艳丽,邱杰,刘晓宇..基于融合百度指数的电商订单量组合预测研究[J].计算机工程与应用,2018,54(12):219-225,7.

基金项目

武汉理工大学自主创新研究基金(No.175218003). (No.175218003)

计算机工程与应用

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1002-8331

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