电力系统自动化2018，Vol.42Issue(12)：11-18,8.DOI:10.7500/AEPS20180214002
碳市场风险的分析与控制(一)框架设计
Carbon Market Risk Analysis and Control Part Ⅰ Framework Design
摘要
Abstract
In the global context of climate change mitigation and carbon emissions control,a carbon market risk analysis and control framework is in urgent need considering the seriousness of climate change problem,the solemnity of national political commitment or the urgency of sustainable development of energy industry.As the first part of a series of papers,this paper analyzes the relationship between climate constraints and the carbon market,discusses the mechanism of carbon market risk from a regulatory perspective,and reviews the carbon risk analysis and control practices in recent years.A multi-line risk defense framework of carbon market is proposed and designed by defining key features such as"disturbance occurrence","parameter violation"and"market malfunction"and the coordinated control optimization method under this framework is discussed.Finally, the problem of carbon market risk prevention and control is mathematically formulated. Sand-table simulation and risk quantitative analysis technologies are suggested to be further improved to support carbon market risk analysis and control.The dynamic simulation platform for macro-energy systems (DSMES) developed by the authors"team can break through the barriers among different research paradigms,and effectively support the related research.Based on the defense framework proposed in this paper,simulation analysis and coordinated control results of the carbon market risk will be reported in the second part of the series papers.关键词
气候变化/能源转型/碳市场/风险防控/沙盘推演Key words
climate change/energy transition/carbon market/risk defense/sand-table simulation引用本文复制引用
黄杰,薛禹胜,蒋超,薛峰,钱锋..碳市场风险的分析与控制(一)框架设计[J].电力系统自动化,2018,42(12):11-18,8.基金项目
国家重点研发计划资助项目(2017YFB0903000) （2017YFB0903000）
国家电网公司科技项目"电力系统与相关外部信息交互影响的分析和应用功能设计" （）
中国工程院重大咨询项目(2016-ZD-07).This work is supported by National Key R&D Program of China (No.2017YFB0903000),State Grid Corporation of China and Major Consulting Project of Chinese Academy of Engineering(No.2016-ZD-07). （2016-ZD-07）
