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基于故障数据的某型导弹失效风险排序方法

韩建立 葛峰 周洪庆

海军航空大学学报2018,Vol.33Issue(2):236-242,7.
海军航空大学学报2018,Vol.33Issue(2):236-242,7.DOI:10.7682/j.issn.1673-1522.2018.02.010

基于故障数据的某型导弹失效风险排序方法

Method of Failure Risk Ranking of Missile Components Based on Fault Data

韩建立 1葛峰 1周洪庆1

作者信息

  • 1. 海军航空大学,山东烟台264001
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In the background of the study on a certain type of missile, according to the professional, the missile was divided into eight subsystem, such as projectile, engine systems, electronic and electrical equipment, etc. Adopting FTA and FMMEA methods, the failure modes and mechanisms were analyzed. The severity level and occurrence probability level of failure modes were introduced to construct the failure mode risk assessment model, the failure hazardous degree of the missile's sub-systems was quantitatively analyzed. According to the missile site failure data during service and combined with prior information, and based on the Bayesian es-timation, the calculating method of occurrence probability level of each failure mode was put forward, the fail-ure sorting sequence of missile sub-systems was given and the weak links were determined, and providing sup-port for the subsequent prediction of storage life.

关键词

失效模式/失效机理/Bayes估计

Key words

failure mode/failure mechanism/Bayesian estimation

分类

军事科技

引用本文复制引用

韩建立,葛峰,周洪庆..基于故障数据的某型导弹失效风险排序方法[J].海军航空大学学报,2018,33(2):236-242,7.

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