水利水电技术2018，Vol.49Issue(5)：9-15,7.DOI:10.13928/j.cnki.wrahe.2018.05.002
跨界河流安全的风险因子识别及风险控制研究
Study on risk factor identification and risk control of transboundary river security
摘要
Abstract
In order to achieve national border security,sustainable socio-economic development,continuous healthy water ecoenvironment and sustainable water resources utilization in those regions with transboundary rivers,6 categories of risk factors in the aspects of hydrology,engineering,political diplomacy,economy and society,legal and the other risk factors are identified and structurizedly analyzed for the first time with the methods of experts investigation,scenario analysis and fault tree,etc.,for the problems,such as less studies on the security of transboundary rivers,insufficient systematical analysis on the relevant risk impact factors,etc.,at present in China in accordance with the characteristics of transboundary rivers.On the basis of this,the risk categories,the general idea and strategy for the risk control and the methods and measures related to the risk control are proposed herein for the security of transboundary rivers to enhance the relevant risk acceptability as the target.Based on the identification of transboundary river securities risks,risks control should be carried out in terms of engineering measures and non engineering measures for controllable risks.The study result not only provides the technical support for the risk analysis of the security of transboundary rivers in China,but also has been successfully applied to the actual practices concerned,thus has an important role on making the general idea and countermeasures for the security of transboundary rivers.关键词
跨界河流/安全/风险因子识别/风险控制/国际河流/生态安全/经济安全/国家水安全Key words
transboundary river/security/risk factor identification/risk control/international rivers/ecological safety/economic security/national water security分类
水利科学引用本文复制引用
田英,姜蓓蕾,黄火键,沈福新..跨界河流安全的风险因子识别及风险控制研究[J].水利水电技术,2018,49(5):9-15,7.基金项目
“十一五”国家科技支撑计划重点项目(2008BAB42B00) （2008BAB42B00）
