运筹与管理2018，Vol.27Issue(5)：168-176,9.DOI:10.12005/orms.2018.0123
油砂开发经济性评价方法研究及应用
An Economic Evaluation Method for Oil Sands Development and Its Application
摘要
Abstract
With the continuous development of China ' s oil companies in Canada ' s oil sands, how to reduce the risk of oil sands development project and how to improve the scientific decision-making has become increasingly important .As an important focus of investment decisions , the research on corresponding economic evaluation methods of oil sands has very important meanings .This paper comprehensively analyzes the technical features of mining development of oil sands and Steam Assisted Gravity Drainage ( SAGD ) of oil sands .We select the discount cash flow theory as the theoretical basis and build the mining development and SAGD development economic evaluation model respectively , and meanwhile study parameters estimation method involved in the model systematically , such as income , investment and cost .Through the actual evaluation for certain oil sands test area of Xinjiang , the feasibility of the method is validated .As a desk study of economic evaluation for oil sands development project , the method could provide certain reference basis for economic evaluation for oil sands development in Canada and China .关键词
油砂/露天开发/SAGD开发/经济评价Key words
oil sands/mining development/SAGD development/economic evaluation分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
郭瑞,罗东坤,郭义远,王晓宇,刘键烨..油砂开发经济性评价方法研究及应用[J].运筹与管理,2018,27(5):168-176,9.基金项目
国家社会科学基金重大项目"基于中国石油安全视角的海外油气资源接替战略研究"(11&ZD164) （11&ZD164）
国家科技支撑项目(2014BAC01B02) （2014BAC01B02）
