中国人口·资源与环境2018,Vol.28Issue(5):8-16,9.DOI:10.12062/cpre.20171203
经济增长与资源消费的脱钩关系——基于演化视角的中日韩美比较研究
Decoupling relationship analysis between economic growth and resource consumption in China, Japan, South Korea and the United States: a transitional perspective
摘要
Abstract
Clarifying the mode and driving factor of economic growth,as well as realizing the decoupling of economic growth and resource consumption are essential to achieve sustainable development.However,few studies have compared that economic development mode between different typical countries of the Pacific Rim.This study selected three typical North Asia-Pacific countries (China,Japan and South Korea) which are at different stages of economic development,and chose the United States (as developed reference) as the research objects.Based on the framework of material flow analysis,the production and consumption data of raw materials such as metal and industrial minerals,fossil fuels,construction minerals and biomass in four countries mentioned above from 1970 to 2008 were collected.Moreover,the change trends of economic development,domestic material consumption and extraction,and resource efficiency among different countries were compared.By using the IPAT model,driving forces for the material flow change were further investigated.Finally,Tapio decoupling model was applied to quantitatively distinguish the relationship between economic growth and resource consumption.Results showed that:①GDP per capita and resource extraction and consumption per capita in four countries varied significantly.Resource extraction and consumption in the United States and China were in the forefront of the world for their abundant resources.In terms of GDP per capita,China was far less than the other three countries.In contrast,the United States and Japan were mature developed countries and South Korea had become a developed country.②Obvious differences of resource efficiency in four countries had been found.Over the past three decades,Japan had surpassed the United States to become the top.South Korea ranked third while China's resource efficiency is the lowest.③ The dependence of economic growth on material consumption and the driving forces for material flow change varied significantly among four countries.The economic growth had been decoupled with resource consumption in Japan driven by technology factor and South Korea presented the same trend with Japan.The United States was stably in a weak decoupling state.China's economic growth still depended on resource consumption to a large degree.Overall,this paper studies the characteristics of economic development and resource consumption in four different countries of Pacific Rim,which may not only provide advice for the future efficient global resource management policy,but also provide references and insights for other countries in the similar economic development stages.Relying on technology upgrading to enhance the efficiency of the process industry and promote the development of regional eco-industry is an important way to decouple the economic growth and resource consumption in China.关键词
脱钩关系/物质流分析/资源消费/IPAT/资源效率Key words
decoupling relationships/material flow analysis/resource consumption/IPAT/resource efficiency分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
梁涵玮,倪玥琦,董亮,戴铭,刘天宏,文一朵..经济增长与资源消费的脱钩关系——基于演化视角的中日韩美比较研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2018,28(5):8-16,9.基金项目
江苏省自然科学基金青年项目“基于多源空间数据的南京市基础设施中钢铁资源效益与回收策略研究”(批准号:20160957) (批准号:20160957)
国家社会科学基金重大项目“基于大数据融合的气象灾害应急管理研究”(批准号:16ZDA047) (批准号:16ZDA047)
南京信息工程大学大学生创新创业训练计划项目“基于夜间灯光和三维GIS数据的城市建筑物矿产存量估算方法研究”(批准号:201610300297) (批准号:201610300297)
国家自然科学基金项目“基于区域时空动态物质能量代谢解析的区域生态工业发展设计与评价模型开发”(批准号:41701636). (批准号:41701636)