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城市轨道交通投融资项目建设阶段风险识别

田茂 王怀相

中国铁道科学2018,Vol.39Issue(3):131-137,7.
中国铁道科学2018,Vol.39Issue(3):131-137,7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1001-4632.2018.03.18

城市轨道交通投融资项目建设阶段风险识别

Risk Identification in Construction Stage of Investment and Financing Projects for Urban Rail Transit

田茂 1王怀相2

作者信息

  • 1. 中国铁道科学研究院研究生部,北京100081
  • 2. 中国铁道科学研究院运输及经济研究所,北京100081
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

According to the preconditions of risk identification in the construction stage of investment and financing projects for urban rail transit,which mainly includes the comparison of three packaging methods of investment and financing projects,the main task division of preparatory phase,financing phase,construction phase and operation phase,the organization and division of the control emphases for construction units,the V diagram is used to show the interrelation and the main influence of each phase of the project.The main risks of the construction phase are emphatically analyzed and identified.At the same time,according to the analytic hierarchy model,the weights and importance scores of the main risk factors in the construction phase of the investment and financing projects are calculated with the data obtained by theexpert scoring method.The main risk factors in the construction phase are identified,and the calculated results agree with the consistency test.Finally,the Pareto method is used to divide the risk degrees of risk factors into three grades.

关键词

城市轨道交通/投融资项目/风险识别/层次分析模型/帕累托法

Key words

Urban rail transit/Investment and financing projects/Risk identification/Analytic hierarchy model/Pareto method

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

田茂,王怀相..城市轨道交通投融资项目建设阶段风险识别[J].中国铁道科学,2018,39(3):131-137,7.

基金项目

中国铁道科学研究院基金资助项目(2017YJ145) (2017YJ145)

中国铁道科学

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1001-4632

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