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广东省县域单元热带气旋灾害损失评估方法研究

赵珊珊 高歌 任福民 陆逸 万仕全

热带气象学报2018,Vol.34Issue(3):332-338,7.
热带气象学报2018,Vol.34Issue(3):332-338,7.DOI:10.16032/j.issn.1004-4965.2018.03.006

广东省县域单元热带气旋灾害损失评估方法研究

METHOD OF TYPHOON DISASTER LOSS ASSESSMENT FOR COUNTY-BASED UNITS IN GUANGDONG

赵珊珊 1高歌 2任福民 1陆逸 2万仕全3

作者信息

  • 1. 国家气候中心,北京 100081
  • 2. 南京信息工程大学气象灾害预报预警与评估协同创新中心,江苏 南京 210044
  • 3. 中国气象科学研究院/灾害天气国家重点实验室,北京 100081
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The precipitation, high winds (with wind speed at least 10.8m/s) and direct economic losses caused by tropical cyclones (TCs) in Guangdong during 2004-2014are studied to disclose the relationships between the influence of TCs and meteorological factors, and build an assessment model for the influence of TCs. The seashore areas of Guangdong are affected frequently by the TCs precipitation and high winds and the economic loss rates and the disaster frequencies are much bigger in the southwestern and eastern seashore areas of Guangdong. There are good power law relations between the economic loss rates and the TCs precipitation and high winds. According to the power law relations, the meteorological condition threshold can be calculated for the different level of economic loss rates. Then the meteorological condition threshold can be used to assess the influence of TCs. The evaluations of economic loss rates by TCs influencing Guangdong using the meteorological condition threshold during 2004-2014 are compared with the actual economic loss rates. The results show that the assessments are reasonable, which means this method can be used to assess the influence of TCs in Guangdong.

关键词

热带气旋/灾害评估/县域单元/经济灾损率

Key words

tropical cyclones/disaster assessment/county-based unit/economic loss rate

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

赵珊珊,高歌,任福民,陆逸,万仕全..广东省县域单元热带气旋灾害损失评估方法研究[J].热带气象学报,2018,34(3):332-338,7.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金项目(41605069、41475064)共同资助 (41605069、41475064)

热带气象学报

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1004-4965

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